Even though training camps have
started, we are still stuck in that dreadful period of time known as the NFL
offseason. It’s been half a year since the last meaningful NFL game was played, and as a
nation we are desperate for any sort of football coverage. The natural result
of this is a tidal wave of player rankings, tiresome debates produced by just
about every media organization in existence.
I’ve never been a fan of ranking
football players. The skills involved are so varied, making comparisons almost
impossible to do. You end up sidetracked by arguments over positional value,
schematic fit, and other variables that are impossible to directly observe.
Comparing within a position is
another matter. I don’t have a problem saying who I think is the best wide
receiver in the league, or who the best quarterback is. And these comparisons
can give us a sense of how much better an individual player is than the
rest at his position.
This is how I’ve constructed the
rankings below. For each position (not including kickers, punters, or long
snappers because no one cares) I’ve gone through and selected the player I believe is the best at their position, then listed those (in no particular order) on the
tier directly below them. The order I’ve placed them in is based on how much
separation I believe there is between the player I’ve selected and this second
tier. The best of the best are at the very top, while the positions at the
bottom are the ones where I truly struggled to figure out who was the best in the
league.
Hybrid
D-Lineman: JJ Watt
Runners
Up: Muhammad Wilkerson, Fletcher Cox, Calais Campbell, Michael Bennett
This is a position that has
emerged over the past few years in the NFL, and I’m really not sure how to
handle it. These players play multiple positions along the defensive line, from
interior tackles to edge rushers. They aren’t necessarily there to go after the
passer, but they do that well. Their job isn’t to occupy blockers and clog up
the run, but they can do that too. There are very few players in the NFL even
capable of doing this at an average level, and I may have listed them all
above.
The important thing is, JJ Watt
is the best in the league at doing one of the hardest things in the league. It
might actually be fair to say that he plays a different position from every
other player in the league, given the way he collects sacks while also stuffing
up the middle. Watt is the best non-quarterback player in the league, and the
gap between him and all other defenders is almost laughable at this point.
Tight End:
Rob Gronkowski
Runners
Up: Jimmy Graham, Jason Witten, Greg Olsen, Julius Thomas
We are at a strange period in the
history of NFL tight ends. Tony Gonzalez is gone. Antonio Gates is not what he used to be. Athletic freaks like Jared Cook and Lardarius Green have
failed to develop. We’re left with a bunch of good options, and one superstar
who dominates when healthy.
The closest player to challenging
Gronkowski is Jimmy Graham, and I’m not sure what to make of him. He had a
miserable season in 2014, and I think it may be a sign of things to come. He’s
failed to develop his physical tools, and without Brees throwing to him it’s
fair to wonder if he’ll ever reach the peaks he saw early in his career.
Gronkowki just continues to chug along, and as long as he’s healthy there
really isn’t much debate for best tight end in the league.
Safety:
Earl Thomas
Runners
Up: Harrison Smith, Eric Weddle, Antoine Bethea, Devin McCourtey
The safety position has undergone
an interesting transition over the past decade. There is no longer any tangible
distinction between a strong and a free safety. The growth of the passing game
has forced teams to move both their safeties out of the box into coverage, and
there is no longer a place in the NFL for a hard hitting safety who can’t keep
up with receivers (except potentially as an undersized linebacker).
The prototypical safety now is
someone who can sit in a single deep zone and cover the middle of the field,
and no one does that as well as Thomas. His speed and his instincts give him
tremendous range, making him the most crucial piece of Seattle’s defensive
success over the past three seasons. He’s also physical enough that he could
probably step in for any of the players on the lower tier, while none of them
could cover ground the way he does. Right now every safety in the NFL is
jostling for second place behind Thomas, and it will probably remain that was
for quite some time.
Offensive
Guard: Marshal Yanda
Runners
Up: Josh Sitton, Evan Mathis, Kyle Long
Yanda had a down year (along with
the entire Ravens offense) in 2013, but he came roaring back in 2014. He is the
best run blocker in football, and he paved the way for a reshuffled offensive
line to turn Justin Forsett into one of the most productive running backs in
the league. He isn’t as good a pass blocker as someone like Sitton, and in the
right scheme Mathis can be a better player. But no one can do what Yanda does as
consistently as Yanda does it.
Center:
Alex Mack
Runners
Up: Travis Frederick, Maurkice Pouncey, John Sullivan, Max Unger
Mack is overpaid, and he’s coming
off an injury, so it’s understandable that some people are skeptical of him
right now. But he has been the best center in the league over the past three
seasons, and the loss of him last year played a major role in Cleveland’s
collapse down the stretch. Mack will likely be back to his normal self this
year, playing almost well enough to justify his ridiculous contract. Cleveland
doesn’t have a lot going for them on offense, but they can at least rely on
their offensive line.
Quarterback:
Aaron Rodgers
Runners
Up: Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger, Andrew Luck
The quarterback position has been
discussed to death, so I’m not going to say much here. Rodgers is the best in
the league, and he’s got a reasonable lead over the next cluster. I don’t think
Manning is done, but I also don’t think he’ll ever reach Rodgers’s level again.
Brady and Brees are in a similar boat, and while Roethlisberger is coming off
his best season, he just isn’t as talented as the others. The
one player that has a chance to close the gap is Luck. I still have a lot of
questions about Luck’s game, his decision making and his inconsistency, but at
his best he is one of the few quarterbacks in the league who can make plays to
challenge Rodgers. At some point I think he will be in the conversation for the
best quarterback in the league, but for now Rodgers still has a sizeable
advantage.
Wide
Receiver: Antonio Brown
Runners
Up: Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, AJ Green, Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson
People seem to have a weird
reluctance to give Brown his due, largely because he doesn’t fit the physical
profile of an elite wide receiver. He doesn’t have the size of any in the tier
below him, or the strength, or the leaping ability. He doesn’t make spectacular
leaping grabs, or break five tackles on the way to the endzone, or run away
from coverage. All he does is produce.
2013-2014
|
Receptions
|
Yards
|
Touchdowns
|
Antonio Brown
|
239
|
3197
|
21
|
Dez Bryant
|
181
|
2553
|
29
|
Julio Jones
|
145
|
2173
|
8
|
AJ Green
|
167
|
2467
|
17
|
Calvin Johnson
|
155
|
2569
|
20
|
Jordy Nelson
|
183
|
2833
|
21
|
Brown has been the best receiver
in the league for the past two seasons, and it’s not particularly close. He’s a
model of consistency at a notoriously volatile position, and even though his
physical tools don’t match up to other top receivers, he will continue to
dominate thanks to his quickness and his spectacular route running ability.
Cornerback:
Darrelle Revis
Runners
Up: Richard Sherman, Patrick Peterson, Chris Harris, Desmond Trufant
Here it is, the position that’s
been driven into the ground over the past three years. The others have
cases to be made for being at the top of the position, but really this
conversation comes down to two players. Revis and Sherman. Revis is the veteran
technician, a superstar who just continues to perform at a high level even as
he gets up there in years. Sherman is the young, boisterous challenger, the
face of an elite defense who has proclaimed himself the best in the league. The
narratives are overwhelming, to the point that I almost don’t want to address
it.
In the end, I put Revis first for
a simple reason: his scheme asks him to do more than Sherman’s. The Seahawks
run a hybrid zone-man scheme that leaves Sherman with deep coverage, playing to
his strengths while not asking him to keep up with quick moving receivers
underneath. Revis plays strictly man, mirroring the opposing receiver in a way
Sherman would struggle to do.
Linebacker:
Luke Keuchly
Runners
Up: Lavonte David, Bobby Wagner, Navarro Bowman, DeAndre Levy
With the retirement of Patrick
Willis, the recurring injuries to Sean Lee, and the general movement of teams
away from off the ball linebackers, this position has become one of the more
barren in the league. Most linebackers are trained to stuff the run and
struggle against the pass, and these days they often play fewer snaps than a
third cornerback. The top linebackers are the ones who can stay on the field
for all three downs, who can cover the pass as well as they stop the run.
I think Keuchly is a bit
overrated, but he is still the best at this weak position. Players like David
and Levy (and his own teammate Thomas Davis) are better in coverage, and both
Wagner and Bowman are better against the run. But Keuchly excels by doing
everything at an extremely high level. There are no weaknesses in his game, and
even though I don’t think he’ll ever again reach the heights of his Defensive
Player of the Year second season, he’ll be a top notch inside linebacker for
the rest of his career.
Offensive
Tackle: Joe Thomas
Runners
Up: Tyron Smith, Jason Peters, Andrew Whitworth
Thomas probably wasn’t the best
offensive tackle in the league last season, or even the season before that. At their
peaks Smith, Peters, and Whitworth all dominate in a way Thomas doesn't. But
offensive tackle is a position that demands consistency, and no one has been
more consistent than Thomas. He’s been named to the Pro Bowl every year he’s
been in the league, and he’s been an All Pro every season but his first.
Because he plays in Cleveland and plays on the line, most people seem to ignore
him. But looking at his résumé, it’s hard not to start to wonder if he may be
putting himself in the conversation for the greatest to ever play the position.
Edge
Rusher: Von Miller
Runners
Up: Justin Houston, Robert Quinn, Elvis Dumervil, Clay Matthews
These players live in the shadow
of JJ Watt, but for today I’m going to allow them a chance to be in their own
category. They play exclusively on the edge, and their primary
responsibility is to rush the passer. Houston quietly had one of the greatest
pass rushing seasons of all time last year, racking up 22 sacks while being
overshadowed by Watt’s inhuman dominance. I strongly considered putting him at
the top of this category, but he lost a narrow race to his AFC West rival.
Miller has kind of gotten lost in
the shuffle over the past few years. He was the first defensive player taken in
the incredible 2011 draft class, and he went on to win a deserved Defensive
Rookie of the Year. After that, though, things kind of fell apart. He was
suspended for a failed drug test, and then he suffered a torn ACL. He’s been
overshadowed both by his draftmate Watt and his teammate Peyton Manning. And
through it all, he has simply been one of the best players in the league
against the run and the pass. At this point it might actually be fair to call
him underrated, since he’s probably the second best defensive player in the
league.
Defensive
Tackle: Ndamukong Suh
Runners
Up: Gerald McCoy, Aaron Donald, Marcell Dareus
Suh wins almost by default. McCoy
is better when he’s healthy, but he has too many injury problems. Donald was
better last year, and I think he’ll probably pass him soon. But for now I have
to rank Suh as the best defensive tackle in the league. He’s been a great
player since he was drafted, a force against both the run and the pass, and he
is probably worth every penny the Dolphins paid him this offseason. Suh has
been the consensus best defensive tackle since he came into the league, but it
is a lot closer than most people realize, and his run may be coming to an end.
Running
Back: Adrian Peterson
Runners
Up: Jamaal Charles, LeSean McCoy, Marshawn Lynch, LeVeon Bell, DeMarco Murray
Running back is weird and hard to
handle. The two best runners in the league last year were Bell and Murray, but
I have a hard time ranking either of them first based on one productive year.
Charles has been steady for a while, but he’s never produced at the same volume
as some of the others. McCoy seems to disappoint every other year, and while
Lynch is consistent, I don’t think he has ever been the best back in the
league.
Call me a homer, but I made a
close decision to go with Peterson. He barely played last year for off the
field reasons, and he’s nearing the point where most running backs break down. But
he’s been the best running back in the league since he was drafted, and until
we see clear evidence that his performance falling off, I’m going to
stick to my guns. But I’d have no problem with anyone calling any of these
other backs the best in the league, which is why this position finds itself at
the bottom of the list.
No comments:
Post a Comment