The NFL draft is now exactly one
month away, so it’s time to start digging into the players available. Over the
next four weeks I will bring you a breakdown of some of the top players in the
draft, starting today with the cornerbacks.
For each position group I
selected between six and eight players that are projected to go high in the draft. My goal is to cover every player who could go in the first round,
though inevitably this will fail. There will be some players who go in the
first round that I did not look at, and there will be players that I did look
at who will not be drafted in the first three rounds.
But let’s not worry about that.
Let’s instead focus on the six cornerbacks I selected to break down. As with
every breakdown I do, they will be listed in the order I would take the them in
the draft, with the best first and the worst last. I’ll also begin each writeup
with a breakdown of exactly what I’m looking for when scouting the position
group.
I’ll begin this one by admitting
that, of all the groups, this is the one you should most take with a grain of
salt. Cornerback is the position I understand the least about, and
it is the most difficult to scout with the film I have available, which only
shows the TV angles and cuts off the deeper routes by the wide receivers.
When watching defensive backs, I
look for a mix of explosiveness and technique. Balance is crucial to being able
to keep up with receivers, the ability to react to an initial move without
becoming to vulnerable to a counter. Good defensive backs can play in a variety
of schemes, either running deep with a receiver or pressing him at the line.
But these technical matters are also things that can be accounted for by
coaching at the next level, so I also have to look at pure ability. Recovery
speed to track down receivers once they’re beaten, instincts and coordination
to play the ball in the air, and explosiveness downhill are often signs that a
cornerback can become more in the NFL than they were in college.
Jalen Ramsey, Florida State
Since this is the very first
player I’m covering, I’ll start by giving a basic overview of how I do these
evaluations. For every player I watch three games of tape (available through the wonderful
DraftBreakdown.com). For the first two games I create a list of notes, which I
then look back on prior to watching the third game and writing up my analysis.
For the most part these notes take the form of a bulleted list of pros and
cons, which I use to supplement a more general view of the player I get over
three games of tape.
This whole process occurs over
the span of about two months, but for the most part my memory is good enough
that the notes erve as a supplement to the overall thoughts I gathered
from the first two times watching the player. Very rarely am I surprised by
anything I find going back through my notes. It just so happens that Ramsey
is one of these exceptions.
When reading over the notes, I
was surprised to find that I had almost nothing negative to say about Ramsey. I
pointed out that he can occasionally struggle to stick with receivers in zone
coverage, and that he lets receivers across his face to easily, but 90% of what
I had to say about him was positive. I had always had him pegged as the top
cornerback in the draft, but until the final time through I was a bit confused
why so many scouts have him rated among the best players at any position.
The discovery I made reading my
notes is a pretty good summary of Ramsey as a player. He doesn’t do anything
spectacular that will stick with you after you watch him, but he is also a
remarkably clean and efficient player. His technical skills in coverage are
unmatched by any player in this draft, and his athleticism is so smooth and
natural that it almost seems unimpressive.
Ramsey plays with excellent
balance in every phase of coverage. He can press receivers at the line, but
even if he’s beaten off the snap he has the ability to recover. He doesn’t bite
on double moves, and he is difficult to beat over the top, made even more of a
challenge by his length, speed, and ball skills. Perhaps his best asset is his
ability to use the sideline to cut down throwing windows. He forces receivers
to widen their routes as they run down the field, and he does so without
getting overly physical in a way that will draw penalties, relying instead on
subtle positioning of his body to force the receiver towards the sideline.
Ramsey’s stock is bolstered by
many who believe he could play safety in the NFL as well as cornerback. In the
games I watched I never saw him take a snap at safety, but the skills I saw him display could very easily transition to that position. He is incredibly
physical and difficult to block, and he is a serious threat as a blitzer off
the edge. I would probably still stick him at cornerback, but he offers the
sort of versatility that could be even more valuable in the right scheme.
I’m still not as high on Ramsey
as some others, but he is the class of the cornerbacks and definitely worthy of
a top ten, or even a top five selection. He is the best cornerback prospect
I’ve seen in the three years I’ve been doing this, and he will be able to
contribute immediately in the NFL.
Vernon Hargreaves, Florida
Hargreaves lacks the physical
profile of a player like Ramsey, but he has enough skill that he should still
end up in the top half of the first round. Though his height limits his ability
to win balls at the point of the catch and to close down windows over the top,
his inherent athleticism gives him plenty of ability to make plays to erase his
occasional shortcomings.
Hargreaves is another master
technician. He played in a wide variety of coverages at Florida, ranging from
press man at the line of scrimmage to a deep zone. Some of these schemes
definitely worked to his strengths more than others, but he is comfortable with
just about anything he’ll be asked to do at the NFL level. In man coverage he
can mirror opposing receivers, and in zone he can use his instincts to make
plays as the ball comes near him. He is also a spectacular tackler, and he will
offer an immediate impact as a defender in the run game and the short passing
attack.
When Hargreaves has a problem, it
comes because he commits too early. Whether turning his hips too soon and
letting a comeback beat him underneath, or biting on a double move and getting
burned over the top, he can be exploited by crisply run routes. His recovery
ability isn’t great, hindered by a lack of explosion towards the ball and his
underwhelming physical stature.
Hargreaves has some shortcomings,
but in the end he is just a playmaker. He finds a way to be around the ball,
and he finds a way to make something out of it. Ramsey is the better
cornerback, but Hargreaves will likely lead him in interceptions most seasons.
And when he gets the ball in his hands, he is even more dangerous, offering an
extra dimension as a punt returner. If given a choice, I’d always take the shut
down cornerback over the big play star, but it’s not a choice I’d feel too bad
about either way.
William Jackson, Houston
Jackson was one of the big
winners at the Combine, and he’s ridden that burst into the first round
conversation. While his performance still hasn’t answered the concerns about
the level of competition he faced, his sensational 4.37 forty showed that he can
keep up with any receiver put across from him. This comes through on the tape
as well, where he was consistently a problem for the whatever receiver he faced.
Jackson has some work to do to
become more consistent, but at the peak of his game he is a true shutdown
cornerback. With good length and great speed, he has the ability to challenge
receivers at the line and to keep up with them over the top. He isn’t great as
a tackler, but he is willing to stick his nose in, and that’s half the battle
for a cornerback. But where he’ll really earn his money is in coverage, where
his ball skills and closing speed make him a truly dangerous player on the
outside.
There are definitely some holes
in his game, and he’ll need some development in the NFL before he reaches his
peak. He spends a bit too much time reading the receiver, sitting on his heels
with inside leverage and letting the route develop. This gives him the ability
to break quickly to close out underneath and outbreaking routes, but it leaves
him vulnerable to deep passes and double moves to the inside. His usual method
of dealing with this was just to hit the receiver at the top of the route, an
option that will no longer be available in the NFL.
The technique can be a bit
unrefined, but in pure skill he may be matched only by Ramsey. He breaks
sharply on the ball, and he always gets his head around, even when he’s been
beaten. He has good hands and excellent strength fighting for the ball, and
he’ll make plays to go along with tracking receivers in coverage. Often times
we make the mistake of putting too much emphasis on a player’s performance at
the Combine, but in Jackson’s case the numbers only brought attention to what
we should have seen all along, that he is one of the best cornerbacks in the draft
and that he should be selected somewhere in the first half of the first round.
Eli Apple, Ohio State
Apple is the most physical
cornerback available in the draft. At 6-1 and 199 pounds, he has the size to
match up against nearly any receiver in the NFL. And he uses that size to his
full advantage, playing tight at the line of scrimmage and hitting the opposing
receiver before they can get into their route. He ruins the timing of plays, and at
his best he can lock on and prevent a receiver from even making it downfield.
Obviously, this will lead to some
problems with the transition to the NFL, where the rules regarding pass
coverage are a lot stricter than in college. He was called for too many
penalties at Ohio State, and he’ll get even more if he doesn’t change his
style. Physicality will always be the biggest asset he has, but going forward
he won’t be able to rely on it nearly as much as he has to this point.
So the question we have to ask
when scouting him is whether or not he can make this adjustment. And for the
most part, I think the answer is yes. He has excellent speed to go along with
his size, running a 4.40 forty at the Combine and regularly displaying that
straight line speed on the field. Receivers don’t run away from him over the
top, and with his length it is very difficult to beat him going deep.
His ability to stack receivers up
at the line limited how often he had to show it, but his ability to keep up
with receivers on their routes is remarkably smooth. His hips transition
quickly, and his feet stay underneath him most of the time. There is definitely
some risk to him going forward, but all the skills are there, and at only 20
years old he has plenty of time to grow and develop into one of the better
cornerbacks in the league.
Mackensie Alexander, Clemson
Popular perception of Alexander
has been all over the place since the beginning of this process. At times I’ve
seen him ranked among the top ten players of the draft, but after watching him
on film I find myself siding with the people who still have him at the bottom end of
the first round. The hype around him seems strange, particularly for a player
who doesn’t display that much to impress me in either physical ability or
technical skill.
Alexender is on the smaller end
of the spectrum like Hargreaves, but unlike Hargreaves he actually plays as small
as he is. He doesn’t have the ability to move receivers on their routes, and he
offers next to nothing in the running game. Receivers beat him easily across his
face, and he struggles to make plays on the ball, partially due to difficulties
locating it and partially due to his below average physical stature.
There is one aspect of
Alexander’s game that stands out, and that’s his ability to close downhill. He has
fantastic burst when the ball is in the air, and if he can stay close enough to
the receiver, he can get himself in position to make plays. He still has work
to do when it comes to making these plays, as evidenced by his failure to
generate a single interception in his college career, but if he can clean up
his technique in coverage, he can become a dangerous cornerback.
In the end though, the technique
is my biggest concern. He wasn’t challenged a lot in college, asked to play a
lot of bail coverage that surrendered a number of easy completions underneath.
And when he was put into a man on man situation, he struggled with guesses and
was vulnerable to double moves. With only two years of college experience, he
still has room to grow. But it will take some time before he’s ready to start
in the NFL.
Kendall Fuller, Virginia Tech
Fuller was one of the biggest
names coming into the 2015 season, but a disappointing year has likely dropped
him out of the first round. He missed time with injuries, and when he was on the field he struggled to keep up with opposing receivers. In the long run
the problems he has may be fixable, but they also pose serious questions about
how well he will transition to the NFL.
Fuller has some impressive physical tools, with solid size to go along with good speed. He
plays with aggression, and he will make a number of big plays, which is what
got him all the attention prior to this past season. But his aggression can
also come back to bite him, leading to mistakes in coverage that leave wide
receivers wide open.
Fuller has a lot of small
problems that you might dismiss as fixable with coaching, but together they add
up into a seriously flawed player. He bites too hard on double moves, and he gives
receivers too easy access to the middle of the field. He doesn’t get his head
around to play the ball, and he will draw a lot of pass interference penalties
unless he cleans things up. Perhaps even more troubling are his physical
shortcomings, a lack of burst that prevents him from recovering from his
mistakes and limits his ability to come downhill and make plays on the ball.
It’s easy to dismiss a lot of
this as the product of injuries, so I went back and watched tape from one of
his games in 2014. And I saw a lot of the same flaws, even if they weren’t
quite as highlighted as they were in 2015. Fuller could still turn
into a quality starter, but his ceiling is limited, and he carries more risk
than I would want from a first round pick.
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