Friday, March 27, 2020

2020 Cornerback Prospects


Earlier this week I walked through the top wide receivers in this year’s draft class. Of course, someone is going to have to cover those receivers. And while this year isn’t as loaded in cornerback talent as it is on the offensive side of the ball, there are still some interesting options worth taking a look at on the first day of the draft.

Jeff Okudah, Ohio State
2020 NFL Draft: Why the Jaguars Should Consider Jeff Okudah Over a ...
Okudah is probably the easiest selection for the top player at his position in the draft (or at least tied with a teammate of his, who I will get to in a couple of weeks). In a relatively weak cornerback class, Okudah is the one elite player, a future lockdown star who should go in the top five of the draft.

Okudah has good size and explosiveness for a cornerback, but what really sets him apart is his fluidity. His ability to stay perfectly balanced as he flips his hips and cuts in space is as good as any cornerback I have scouted. He matches the opposing receiver stride for stride and break for break, never looking particularly troubled as he rests in the receiver’s hip pocket. This means he is always in excellent position to make a play on the ball, where his long arms and 41 inch vertical allow him to go around or up over any receiver to play the ball without any risk of penalty.

There’s nothing I really saw Okudah try in college that he wasn’t able to do, and the only real questions I have about him are the things he didn’t do a lot of. His skillset suggests that he would be good playing in the slot as well, and he looked good on the rare occasion he was bumped inside at Ohio State, but I haven’t seen enough to say with complete confidence he can do it on every single play. When he was asked to jam the receiver at the line he was effective at stacking him up, but again I didn’t see enough to say that this can be a major part of his game going forward. The only questions about Okudah are the same questions about every other player you’ll find in the draft, and in all likelihood there won’t be anything holding him back as he jumps to the NFL.

AJ Terrell, Clemson
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As I mentioned above there is a big dropoff between number one and number two in this year’s class, but there is a fair group of cornerbacks clustered with value in the late first round. Of these the best is Terrell, another long cornerback who brings good physicality and decent ball skills. He’s a strong tackler, and he shows good promise as an overpowering force in press coverage, though like Okudah he didn’t do much of that in college.

Terrell moves well for a 6-1 cornerback. He has the speed to keep up down the field, and he is able to make sharp cuts when he needs to break downhill on a stop or other inside route. He doesn’t do a great job mirroring receivers as they release off the line, and he’ll allow some space on quick hitting routes beneath him. But he closes that space quickly, and he allows very little in terms of yards after the catch.

Terrell’s abilities at the point of the catch are a little bit puzzling. At times he does a great job tracking the ball in the air, but at others—particularly near the sideline—he will get a little panicked and be unable to get his head around in time. He does a good job squeezing vertical routes to the boundary to cut off their space, and his height allows him to cover a lot of ground laterally to play the ball. But both his vertical jump and his arm length are below average, and he will consistently lose jump balls against most receivers. It’s a small thing, but it’s enough of a flaw to cause problems against many of the top receivers he will have to face in the NFL.

Damon Arnette, Ohio State
Damon Arnette CB Ohio State - Draft Player Profile | The Draft Network
Arnette isn’t the cornerback for everyone. He’s a bit boom-or-bust stylistically, and he’s bound to frustrate a lot over the course of his career. He isn’t as big or athletic as the two cornerbacks I have listed above him, and he’ll never be a pure shutdown cornerback. The biggest question with him will always be whether the positive plays he makes outweigh the negative ones.

Arnette has a habit of keeping his eyes in the backfield whenever he is in coverage. At times this works to his advantage, letting him make tremendous breaks on the ball that turn into passes defensed or interceptions. Other times he’ll get caught with his eyes off the receiver, causing him to bite hard on double moves and be beaten down the field. He didn’t test as a great athlete, but on the field his recovery speed looks decent, and he’s able to close down the windows his aggressiveness opens up. But they’re there, and good quarterbacks will take advantage of them.

Seemingly every play is a swing for the fences with Arnette. When he walks up in press coverage he has the ability to stuff a receiver at the line of scrimmage, but he also will occasionally miss with his initial punch, leaving him off balance and in bad position as the receiver streaks past him down the field. He can play tight coverage and make plays at the point of the catch, but he’s also a bit grabby and will likely draw a lot of penalties over his career. In the end it’s up to each team whether they think he’s worth it, but it’s a chance I would probably take later in the first round.

CJ Henderson, Florida
2020 Cowboys draft prospect: Cornerback CJ Henderson - Blogging ...
Henderson is probably the best all around athlete in this year’s cornerback group. He is tall and long, and he excelled in drills of speed and explosiveness at the combine, traits that show up on the field as well. He can turn and run with any receiver across from him, and no one beats him deep on just a straight run. He didn’t do any of the agility drills, but I imagine he would have been successful at those as well, based on the ease with which he changes direction on a football field.

Henderson brings a rare amount of polish and versatility with him to the pro game as well. He’s taken quite a few reps as a slot defender in addition to his time on the outside, and he played a fair bit of zone coverage at Florida as well. He isn’t as effective at this as he is at man-to-man. He plays very soft when he’s in a zone, and on a couple of occasions I saw him chase the wrong receiver and let someone run wide open behind him. But for the most part he understands what he’s doing, and with a little more polish he should slide easily into any NFL system.

There are a few things that hold me back from really embracing Henderson. His ball skills don’t seem particularly great. He loses a lot of throws in the air over his head, and he gets outmuscled at the point of the catch by most receivers he faces. When he does try to contest the throw, he has a habit of playing through the receiver in a way that will draw a lot of penalties. And he’s a poor tackler, meaning any completion against him could break free into a much bigger gain. As good as he is in coverage, if I was a quarterback facing him I wouldn’t be afraid to throw his way. Chances are decent that something good will come of it.

Bryce Hall, Virginia
Bryce Hall's UVa playing days over | NewsRadio WINA
You know what you’re getting when you draft Hall. He’s a rock solid cornerback who will hold down a starting role for the next eight years, and for the most part he will be fairly invisible. He isn’t going to kill your team being burned over the top, and he isn’t going to make superstar plays on the outside. He has good ball skills that will probably get him a couple interceptions a year, but he’ll never be an All Pro caliber player either.

Hall can do a number of different things on the field. He’s fluid enough to track receivers in man-to-man coverage, and at times he can even disrupt them with physicality at the line of scrimmage. He’s a bit too cautious when he plays off the line, and he doesn’t have fantastic closing speed to make downhill breaks and play the ball. He is fast in a straight line and has the balance and recovery ability to avoid being burned on double moves, and he isn’t going to be beaten over the top. But he will surrender a lot of throws underneath for short gains.

This is a style that can work, though he needs to improve as a tackler if he is going to stick with it at the NFL level. He can’t keep allowing five yard completions that break free for another fifteen after the catch. It would still be better if he could improve at anticipating the route across from him, flashes that do show up in his college tape. He’s a smart player, and at times he does an excellent job reading the receiver and breaking downhill the exact moment his opponent turns on his route. If he can harness this more consistently, he can turn into a better player than I expect. But in all likelihood I think he’s just an average starter, which is still worth taking at the very end of the first round.

Kristian Fulton, LSU
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Fulton is at his best playing tight to the line and erasing quick-hitting routes. He does a good job protecting the inside against the releases of opposing wide receivers, and he falls into their hip pocket perfectly to break up quick slant routes. He isn’t the biggest cornerback, but his positioning makes up for that lack of length as he makes great breaks on the ball to shut down these quick windows.

Things go south for Fulton as a play develops. He’s decent when he turns and runs with receivers on vertical routes, able to use the sideline to his advantage to shut down throwing windows. But he doesn’t make great plays on the ball, and receivers can go up over the top of him. More problematic are routes that come across the middle of the field, either drags or deep dig routes where receivers are able to pull away from him if given enough time.

Fulton won’t work in every scheme. He’ll probably be best in a system like Seattle’s or Atlanta’s, where he starts tight to the line but has responsibility for the deep third zone. He can pass off the routes that give him trouble to inside defenders, and he can take advantage of his skills in tight coverage to shut down plays close to the line of scrimmage. For the right team, he probably is worth a first round pick, but it wouldn’t be a mistake if he slid down into the second round.

Jeff Gladney, TCU
Jeff Gladney - Football - TCU Athletics
Gladney is the shortest and the lightest cornerback of the eight I looked at, and it shows up on the field. He makes fewer plays on the ball than the other cornerbacks listed here, mostly arriving just to wrap up the receiver after the completion is made. He also gets outmuscled physically, knocked back by small shoves at the break point of the route to open up a couple yards of separation between him and a larger receiver.

Smaller cornerbacks can be stars in the NFL, but they have to make up for their lack of stature in other areas, usually with quickness. And while Gladney is certainly capable of making sharp change of direction plays—most notably when throwing on the brakes after being challenged on a vertical release—he doesn’t have the tools to move like a top echelon cornerback. His closing speed isn’t anything special, and even when he rides in a receiver’s hip pocket there is always room above or ahead of him to fit the ball into.

The other concern I have about Gladney is speed. He didn’t run a forty yard dash, so we don’t have a number to put with it, but it looks like an issue on the field. He can be beaten over the top on a straight run, or across the middle on a drag route that sets the opposing receiver up for big yards after the catch. While his technique is good enough to make him an NFL starter, I just don’t see the tools here to be anything more than that.

Trevon Diggs, Alabama
Trevon Diggs - Football - University of Alabama Athletics
Diggs is the premier press-man cornerback in this year’s class. He has long arms and a strong frame, and he uses them to their full advantage when he is walked up to the line. His hands fire out the moment the ball is snapped, and he strikes a receiver’s chest with enough force to bend him backwards. He can destroy the timing of the play before the receiver can even take a step, and he has the strength to be as effective against tight ends as he is against smaller receivers.

After that is when things get dicey. Diggs struggles transitioning from pressing at the line to pivoting back in coverage. His hips look a bit stiff, and if he doesn’t get turned around instantly he lacks the straight line speed to catch up to a wide receiver that has beaten him off the line. His long arms can close down some passing lanes over the top, but his ball skills are inconsistent, with a few spectacular plays alternating with moments where he can’t find the ball in the air and lets the receiver go up over him.

Diggs can develop into an above average cornerback, but it’s going to take time and experience. He needs to do a better job reading the route in front of him and anticipating where the receiver is setting him up to go, rather than just reacting after the fact and trying to close down the window. And even then I’m not sure how much he can do unless he develops a lot more agility in the NFL. He’ll be a good matchup against longer, more linear receivers, but anyone with decent lateral quickness will eat him alive. I hope he doesn’t go in the first round and is given time to properly develop, and honestly it would be better if he fell down to the end of the second or even into the third round.

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