Two
weeks from tonight, the entire NFL will gather together in Las Vegas join
a giant conference call for the NFL draft. I’ve already gone through my
rankings for most of the positions on the field—cornerbacks and wide receivers,
linebackers and safeties, running backs and offensive linemen.
Below
I have the defensive tackles. This year isn’t as loaded with talent in the
middle as past seasons, but there is one clear future star available, as well
as some other players who could turn into high level starters as well if
everything breaks right
Javon Kinlaw, South Carolina
I
try to base these rankings solely on my own judgment, but it’s impossible for
me to go into this process totally blind, with no idea where these players are
rated in the wider draft community. I go into each prospect with some expectations of what I am going to see. And it's always a pleasant surprise when a player exceeds these expectations the first time I sit down to watch them. Most fall
back to earth eventually, but there are a few special talents who rise in my
estimation with each game I view.
Kinlaw
is one such prospect. He is well thought of by most people, expected to go in
the middle of the first round, and when that happens he will be an absolute
steal for whoever selects him. He has everything you could want from a
defensive tackle prospect. He has an explosive burst off the line. He has the
power to drive blockers deep into the backfield and disrupt plays at the point
of the handoff. He has the quickness to run around blockers, and the hands to
keep himself free. He stacks people up in the running game, and he threatens
quarterbacks with an up the middle rush.
So
why do most people have Kinlaw ranked lower than the top five prospect I see?
One reason is health, which I can’t really speak to. He didn’t miss any time
his senior season, but he left the Senior Bowl early with tendonitis in his
knees. It’s a concern, and even more problematic this year when teams have less
access to medical information than normal. The other criticism, that he only
produced six sacks his final year in college, doesn’t concern me at all. He was
a defensive tackle on a team thin enough in other positions to draw all the
blockers’ attention to him, and he still produced regular pressure on the
quarterback. Maybe he could be better at finishing, and he likely will never
have the sack numbers of someone like Aaron Donald. But pass rush is not a hole
in his game.
Are
there areas he can improve? Sure. Most of the time in college he came off the
ball straight into the opposing lineman’s chest, and with his burst I’d be
interested to see what he could do in a scheme that asked him to shoot through
more gaps. He has excellent hands, but he’s sometimes a bit slow to use them.
There’s a beat between when his initial surge falters and when he transitions
to trying to throw the blocker away, a beat that may have caused him to miss
some of the sack opportunities I mentioned above. If he can clean this up,
there’s no reason he can’t become one of the best interior defenders in the
league.
Neville Gallimore, Oklahoma
Gallimore
is a weird prospect to try to evaluate. First of all, there’s his performance
at the Combine. He started off with a stunning 4.79 in the forty yard dash, in
the 97th percentile among all defensive tackles. He’s not as big as
some of the others on this list, but at 304 pounds he’s plenty stout, the
biggest questions being about his height and short arms. But then he went out
and absolutely bombed both agility drills, scoring in the 11th
percentile in the 3-cone and in the 3rd percentile in the 20 yard
shuttle.
From
this profile you’d expect and explosive, linear penetrator, but that isn’t
really who he is on the field either. He doesn’t explode off the ball, and he
doesn’t shoot through gaps. He also doesn’t play with much power or work the
blocker into the backfield. He just uses his hands, always attacking and
fighting to separate himself from the blocker in front of him.
But
even with his aggressive, and effective, hand usage, he’s kind of a strange
case. His lack of agility shows up as he struggles to bend around blockers once
he gets separation from them, and he’ll miss out on finishing some plays that
he should make in the backfield. And the more I watched him, the more I started
to feel like he didn’t have that many moves. His swim move is incredible, and
it’s almost impossible to sustain a block on him. But it also seems to be the
only move he uses.
So
what to do with a player like this? Take a shot on him at the end of the first
round. See what he can become, if you can find a way to use him. Maybe as a
change of pace pass rusher to start his career, bringing him in for twenty
plays a game to mess with the opposing offensive linemen. And hopefully in the
next couple years he can move into a more steady starting role as he develops
other options in his game that won’t be so easy for linemen to adjust to.
There’s a lot of talent here, but I’m just not sure what path will unlock it.
Hopefully there’s a coach in the NFL smarter than I am who can figure it out.
Derrick Brown, Auburn
Brown
is a mountain of a man, a space-eating behemoth who shows just enough flashes
of pass rushing ability to make him worth more than the mid-round pick such
defensive tackles normally become. He doesn’t get much in the way of
penetration or push into the backfield, but if you run right at him you aren’t
going to get far. His range is limited, but he can separate from a blocker and
make tackles through contact, with a single arm if need be.
There
are moments where he looks like more than that. A couple times each game he
shows tremendous burst up the field, getting surprisingly skinny and plowing
through a gap. It’s not an image I would want to see as a quarterback, a 6-5
tall 326 pound man unblocked coming towards me. But it’s one I would only have
to worry about seeing two or three times a game. He doesn’t have much in the
way of pass rush moves, and as a game wears on most offensive linemen adjust to
him.
Brown
looks like a decent athlete for his size on the field, but he tested extremely
poor at the Combine. And while there were moments in college where he looked
unstoppable, there were other moments where he got thoroughly dominated as
well. He doesn’t protect his chest with his hands, and if a lineman has the
power to move someone of his bulk—as many in the NFL do—he can be driven
backwards. Maybe there’s room to grow here, consistency to be found, but I
would be hesitant to spend a first round pick on someone based on fewer than
ten truly extraordinary plays I saw over the course of three games.
Justin Madubuike, Texas A&M
Madubuike
is a bit undersized at only 293 pounds, but he plays bigger than he is. He has
excellent lower body strength, and he absorbs blockers without ever being
driven backwards. At times he can move them into the backfield as well, though
this isn’t a major part of his game. He doesn’t have the explosion off the ball
to make these big impact plays, but he holds his ground well and is able to
make plays through contact when the ball comes near him.
With
his style I think Madubuike would be well served to add a little more weight in
the NFL. He tested as a very good athlete, but he doesn’t really use this
athleticism on the field, and I think it would be worth sacrificing some of
that to be able to hold up against the strongest offensive linemen in the NFL.
At times he can be a bit sloppy with his hands and let blockers into his chest.
Even when this happens he doesn’t get pushed back, but this could change
against higher level competition.
There’s
something to work with when it comes to his hands. Every now and then he’ll pull
off an incredible yank and rip move, the flashes of his athleticism showing up
for a moment as he surges past the opposing lineman into the backfield. With
his ability to bend through contact he doesn’t need much of a lane to be able
to make a play, and he’s the sort that with a little work can put up decent
sack totals, if he is helped by some edge pressure that keeps the quarterback
in place as he collapses the pocket. The plays he makes will take a little time
to develop, but they’ll be there.
Ross Blacklock, TCU
It’s
going to be a bit of a rough transition for Blacklock as he makes his way to
the NFL. The system he played in at TCU was certainly unique. It felt like this
defensive line was running stunts on every play, which meant that Blacklock’s
first step off the ball was often lateral rather than up the field. And while
he looked explosive doing this, it didn’t always translate when he tried to
fire straight ahead. He had moments of deep penetration, enough to make me
think he might be able to do more if he adjusted his mentality to a more
traditional rush, but too often his instincts had him working sideways rather
than up the field.
The
biggest problems this will present will be in run defense. He can make some
excellent plays scraping down the line of scrimmage, keeping the blocker from
cutting him off and moving until he is able to disengage and make a tackle. But
his lack of gap discipline is an issue when a team runs straight at him. He has
a tendency to run right out of the hole, making life easy for his blocker and
hard for the linebackers behind him.
It
will take some time, but I think this is a transition he can make. He’s only
290 pounds, and he’s never going to absorb double teams and stack up things in
the middle. But he plays with good leverage, and he has decent hand usage that
prevents him from being overwhelmed and driven backwards. The burst he shows as
a lateral athlete is special, and if he can translate that to rushing straight
ahead, he can cause problems in the backfield on a regular basis. It’s still
probably a risk to take him in the first round, but as a developmental prospect
in the second round he brings plenty of intriguing upside.
Raekwon Davis, Alabama
Like
Brown and Madubuike, Davis specializes in absorbing blockers and making plays
when the ball comes towards him. Unlike those two, he doesn’t really show any
indication he can develop into anything else. There’s no real explosion in his
game, and he pretty much never plays in the opponent’s backfield. Initial
contact is actually more likely to move him backwards, and while he holds his
ground well after that, this is a concerning sign for someone who is supposed
to eat space in the middle.
Once
he’s engaged, Davis does a very good job of controlling the opposing lineman
and playing the gap on either side of him. He keeps his head up, and he has the
ability to shed and make tackles through contact. This style of play has fallen
out of favor some in the NFL, but a smart coach can still make use of it.
Davis
offers virtually nothing as a pass rusher. Every now and then he can pull
himself around a blocker, but it takes time and he rarely turns it into any
sort of meaningful pressure. It might do more if he was able to get real push
into the backfield, but his lower body strength doesn’t translate into vertical
movement. He’ll be a useful situational player, but he’ll likely come off the
field in any passing situations. And a player like this with so little upside
has little value on the first two days of the draft.
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