Kelvin Banks, OT, Texas
Banks is a clean, fundamentally sound tackle prospect with enough athletic tools to make it easy to select him in the top ten. He’s not the sort of freak athlete you normally see from a top draft selection, and he may struggle some with the quickest pass rushers he’ll face in the NFL. But the gifts he has combined with excellent footwork are enough to give him a fighting chance, and to let him dominate the average matchup he’s going to find himself facing.
Banks has quick feet that he deploys in a variety of ways as a pass blocker. He is very good at adjusting his drops as the situation dictates, and it’s rare to see him beaten at the snap of the ball. Once he engages, his feet are in constant motion, allowing him to easily shuffle back and forth to stay between the defender and the quarterback.
He doesn’t have a great punch, and he prefers to sit back and hand-fight rather than attacking pass rushers. This can leave him occasionally vulnerable to surrendering his chest and getting moved backwards, though he does a decent job of anchoring to prevent it from becoming too bad a loss. And when he does get his hands on the defender his strong upper body means that he can force them off his rushing lane, buying time to get his feet moved back into position to close off any opportunities.
In
the running game Banks is a dominant downhill force. He blows defenders
backwards off the ball and carves huge rushing lanes behind him. He’s pretty
good working in space too, whether that’s moving to the second level or sliding
laterally to cut off a defender in a zone run. He does seem to have a little
trouble sustaining blocks, and if the ball comes near him a defender can slide
off to make a play. But this is usually several yards downfield by the time it
happens, and hand usage is something that can be developed in the NFL, no
hindrance to him becoming a top-tier tackle.
Armand Membou, OT, Missouri
If you want athletic upside, Membou is the tackle who will catch your eye. At 334 pounds he ran a 4.91 in the forty and had a 30 inch vertical leap, and on the field his best plays show just what this sort of athleticism can accomplish. He can cover a tremendous amount of ground in his pass sets, erasing any ability to beat him around the edge. He moves easily to the second level and can change rushing attack angles by reaching defenders well outside of him. Membou’s best plays are the best of any lineman in this class.
The problem, of course, is consistency. Membou’s technique is still fairly raw, and it can lead to some ugly losses. For every play where he strikes a pass rusher with a powerful punch and knocks him off his lane, there will be a play where he misstimes his strike and winds up helplessly off balance. For every play where he gets out ahead to clear space in the running game, there will be a play where he takes a bad angle and lets his man run past him to make the tackle. He’ll blow defenders off the ball one play, then stand too high and get knocked backwards himself on the next.
Membou
isn’t a completely raw athlete. He has enough going with his technique that I
think he’ll figure out the rest in the long-term, even if I expect the first
couple years of his career to be pretty rough. He has all the tools you need to
be successful. Quick feet, strong hands, enough length to keep himself clean
when deployed properly. These can cover for some of his flaws while he puts the
rest together, and the upside still makes him worth taking in the middle of the
first round.
Josh Conerly, OT, Oregon
If you miss out on Membou and still want to take a shot at a gifted but raw tackle, Conerly is a good option in the latter half of the first round. He’s not as athletic as Membou, and not as polished either, but he has enough tools in place to grow into a Pro Bowl caliber tackle in a couple of years. He has sufficient length to go along with fantastic movement skills, that here and there are harnessed to flash elite blocking upside.
The key for Conerly will be consistency. His best plays are up there with any others in the class. He gets very good position on his initial drops, and a couple times a game he pulls out a punch that can stop a rusher dead in his tracks. He struggles some at the top of his drop, and when he doesn’t get his hands on the defender—whether because he tries to play more patiently or just mistimes his strike—he doesn’t always have the footspeed to react to an inside move. He also surrenders ground too easily, and I expect him to struggle against the more powerful rushers he faces in the NFL until he can add more strength.
He's
similarly inconsistent in the running game. Sometimes he gets push up the
field, and he’s very good at widening the edge to open a lane between him and
the guard. But he also has issues sustaining blocks, and too often allows his
defender to cross his face to get to the ball. These are mostly technical issues,
and if he’s given a couple of years to develop I think he can become a very
good tackle. But he isn’t a guy you can immediately plug-and-play without
giving him significant help, and there is enough risk of him never panning out
to knock him to the next tier of the class.
Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State
Simmons missed most of his final college season and all of draft testing with a torn patellar tendon, and that adds some risk to a player who would otherwise be a safe if unspectacular selection. Simmons is another technically advanced pass protector, capable of a varied set of drops and possessing quick feet that keep him from ever getting off balance or out of position. He alternates between aggression and patience, between violence and technique, and it is difficult to get an edge on him. At times he can be overwhelmed with power, but typically he’s good enough with his hands and feet to stop a defender from getting into position to do so.
As a run blocker Simmons is less exciting. He doesn’t really move defenders backwards off the ball, and when he tries to do so he can overextend and let his man slide off to get into the backfield. He’s better just trying to move laterally and get into position to shield the defender from the play, but he doesn’t quite have the strength and flexibility to flip his hips around to seal off a running lane, leaving him vulnerable to allowing a tackle if the play comes near him.
Even
before the injury Simmons projected as a pick in the second half of the first
round. He’s a clean and reliable pass protector, and those are extremely
valuable in the modern NFL. But I still like my linemen to be able to provide
clear value in all facets of the game, and I don’t think Simmons has the tools
to do this. With the added risk of the injury—I wouldn’t expect much from his
rookie year, and it’s hard to know the long-term impacts of this—I’d be more
comfortable waiting until the end of the first round before grabbing someone
who projects as just a solid starter with limited upside.
Will Campbell, OT/OG, LSU
This is where I go on my annual rant about arm length. The ability to create separation between yourself and a defender is crucial for an offensive lineman, particularly on the outside where pass rushers have so much space to work with. In the past I’ve heard 33.5 inches listed as the threshold below which a lineman has difficulty succeeding at tackle, though in recent years we’ve see players like Penei Sewell and Rashawn Slater thrive with arms slightly shorter than that.
Campbell’s arms are more than slightly shorter (maybe). At the combine his arms measured 32-5/8 inches, nearly a full inch below this threshold. There really haven’t been any tackles succeed with arms this short, and this caused a lot of people to think he’ll need to move inside to guard. Then at his pro day, his arms measured at 33 inches. In fact, a lot of players had shorter arm measurements at the combine than at their pro days or the Senior Bowl, suggesting maybe something was wrong with the initial measurement.
I don’t know how long Campbell’s arms actually are. I do know that on the field, they are a problem. When Campbell can get his hands on a defender, he usually wins. He has a strong grip and a powerful upper body, and once he latches on he’s able to control the pass rusher ahead of him, at least enough to slow him down so his feet can get into good position. He holds like crazy, but it isn’t egregious enough to draw a lot of penalties, and at least in college he got away with it.
The problem is that far too often the defender is the one who gets his hands on Campbell, not the other way around. When that happens, there isn’t much he can do. He’s vulnerable to bull rushes that deposit him into the quarterback’s lap. He is regularly beaten by inside moves, sharp cuts and spins combined with swats at his arms. He’s a good athlete, and he gets good depth on his drops to cut off the angle on speed rushes. But without his hands to disrupt the defender, he doesn’t change direction quickly enough to crash down on the inside.
Typically when a player has this limited reach the proposal is to move him to guard, a suggestion I’ve made once or twice in the past. The thing is, Campbell isn’t necessarily someone who screams that he would excel if asked to change positions. He shows some ability to anchor and absorb contact when he doesn’t have to worry about being beaten outside, but I still think he’ll struggle with the most powerful interior rushers in the NFL. And as a run blocker, I don’t see a lot to be excited about either. He is a good athlete and takes good angles, but his feet stop when he makes contact, meaning he gets basically no push and struggles to rotate his hips to seal off a defender. I think he can develop into a very good run blocker in a zone scheme, but I’m not sure how much use he has in a more traditional downhill attack.
So
where does that put Campbell? He tested as a first-round caliber athlete, and
he shows flashes of that on the field, even if I didn’t see everything put
together. And while I’m not sure if he has what it takes to make it at tackle,
I think he’ll probably be at least a starting caliber guard. I’d take him in
the second round based on experience and athletic upside.
Grey Zabel, OT/OG, North Dakota State
Zabel is another player who is likely destined to move to guard, though at least for him its an easier transition to project. He is at his best as a downhill mover of people. He absolutely buries people in the running game, carving big gashes behind him that any running back would love to run through. He combines this with very good athleticism to expand his range and cut defenders off, torquing their shoulders to seal them away from the play and giving his offense tons of options for how to design their blocking schemes.
The biggest concerns I have with Zabel are on a technical level. His footwork can be sloppy, both in pass protection and in the running game. He gets off balance far too often, and will frequently lunge trying to strike someone only to miss and give them a lane to surge past him. His quick feet and strong hands mean he is often able to find a way to recover from this, and there are a lot of reps where he loses early but still finds a way to win late. But playing that sort of game is much harder at the NFL, particularly compared to the lower level of competition he typically faced at NDSU.
There are a lot of little things for Zabel to clean up, and while I think he will eventually become an above average guard, it will take some time. He needs to work on his hand placement, too often playing with them spread wide and inviting a defender into his chest. He is big and strong enough to anchor against most bull rushes, but again this is a tough way to find consistent success in the NFL. As a day two pick though, I'm willing to wait and let him develop to get a chance at unlocking his upside.
Tyler Booker, OG, Alabama
Even for a guard, Booker is an underwhelming athlete. He has impressive size—6-5 and 321 pounds with arms longer than most of the tackles in this class—but he isn’t very good at anything that has to do with moving. He scored below the 40th percentile in every single athletic test, and while he doesn’t look quite that bad on the field, it’s clearly something he struggles with. It’s a particular issue when asked to move laterally in the running game, where he struggles to reach defenders aligned outside his shoulder. Either they’re able to beat him frontside before he can cut them off, or they dip around him before he can change direction and recover. Either way, they end up in the backfield far too easily.
Get Booker going downhill though, and it’s a completely different story. He has the power to move piles of humanity back away from the line of scrimmage, and he combines that with excellent use of leverage and feet that never stop moving. He gets into position, and he drives, clamping on with powerful hands and twisting defenders out of the way so he can pivot his hips to seal them from the play. He is a weapon in a downhill running attack, every bit as good here as he is weak in a zone scheme.
As a pass blocker Booker is neither good nor bad. He’s mobile enough to work within the small spaces guards exist in, though he struggles some to react to late blitzes and stunts. His strong hands come in useful here as well, as he uses them to control any defender who has gotten the edge on him long enough for him to recover and bring his feet back underneath him. At times his handwork can get a bit sloppy, and he surrenders ground more often than I’d expect from someone as powerful as he is. I think this is mostly a technique issue. When he is in good position, he can drop his anchor and stick in the ground to stop the pocket from collapsing in the quarterback’s face.
I
can’t justify spending a high pick on someone as limited as Booker, but
if the third round rolls around and you’re a team that runs a scheme that fits his
skills, he can be a very useful player for a couple of years. At least until a
time comes when you want to change the way you do things on offense, then you’ll
probably find yourself looking for someone more versatile.